I think it wouldn't have been as big of a deal. Most people had their minds made up about severity in early 2020 after seeing Wuhan and Italy. No amount of new data pointing to the fact that _those_ were in fact the outliers, and that COVID-19 is bad-but-not-apocalyptic will change their mind. I attribute this to the speed at which information travels now, and the way that social media works to reenforce existing beliefs rather than encouraging a constant reassessment.