> I really have no idea where this idea that the polls failed comes from.
For one, Andrew Gelman (professor of statistics and political science at Columbia University). Who knows more about the topic than anyone here in this HN discussion.
He may know a lot about the topic, but has little experience in actually modeling elections. He also has skin in the game and an incentive to make sure everyone knows that his miss was completely not his fault and was in fact due to failures by someone else, someone over there who you don't know, yes, she lives in Canada...
For one, Andrew Gelman (professor of statistics and political science at Columbia University). Who knows more about the topic than anyone here in this HN discussion.
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/11/04/dont-kid-y...