(I've noticed many revolutionary movements fail when their key exports turn out to have been worth less, due to stocking or substitution, on world markets than they'd been planning. Sometime I should check successful revolutions, and see what happened in their export markets...)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burning_of_Washington
Anything more recent?
(for that matter, are there any scenarios for full major power wars that don't end after an hour or two?)