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But doesn't this effectively just massively under-represent the actual deviation between the price and estimate and the error bounds. If you convert back in to real numbers this estimate is like saying APPL will be between $100 and $1000. I'd be interested to know if there are any other traded products that we view on a logarithmic scale.



If APPL is currently at $90, that prediction says you'll make somewhere between a lot and a ridiculous amount of money. It's not at all precise, but the action you should take if you believe the prediction is clear.




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