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Or your both correct. There are two sides to the coin. Miners are more likely to enter or expand in a profitable market. Profitability is measured by income - costs. Thus, costs -- in this case, electricity, real estate, equipment price -- set a long-term price floor for bitcoin.

They can be mined at a loss temporarily, in order to drive out competition, but at some point, a miner operating at a loss will go bankrupt. This is no different from the oil industry, where capital outlays so high that most players continue to produce at a loss, temporarily. But long-term, the price must at least match costs of production.




The cost of mining doesn't set a price floor. If the price of Bitcoin falls so that the revenue of mining falls below the costs of mining, then miners will drop out until the cost of mining falls enough too.

Bitcoin is minted at a predefined global rate; the amount minted doesn't depend on the number of miners. Miners compete with each other for a share of the predefined minting action, so some dropping out does not decrease the minting rate of Bitcoin, but instead makes it more profitable for the remaining miners.


It does set a price floor for exactly the reasons you say: miners won't operate below a certain cost of mining. Setting a price floor.


If Bitcoin's price fell so it becomes unprofitable to mine, that will not cause Bitcoin's price to go up until it is profitable for miners. Instead, what will happen is that miners will drop out until mining becomes profitable for the remaining miners.




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