Isn't Italy in a pretty bad shape to restart the virus spread right now?
As soon as the government can detect a 16-times increase in the number of cases, act, and still be soon enough for the next 200-times increase not to be a tragedy, it is a good time to leave the quarantine. Right now Italy can't stand the first increase.
The good news is that each time the disease spreads, those numbers become smaller, the bad news is that we don't know by how much.
> Isn't Italy in a pretty bad shape to restart the virus spread right now?
It won't be able to hold a long-standing quarantine. Probably a couple of months tops. That's not even mentioning the economy. As I said, endured isolation will have very bad side effects.
You know, after a short search and calculation, it looks like today there are about 4 times more people dying in your country than usual. That's pretty big. In a couple of weeks, there will probably be nearly no new cases, so you can detect growth without it immediately being a disaster.
Yes, there are economic consequences, but the alternative is quite a lot of avoidable deaths.
As soon as the government can detect a 16-times increase in the number of cases, act, and still be soon enough for the next 200-times increase not to be a tragedy, it is a good time to leave the quarantine. Right now Italy can't stand the first increase.
The good news is that each time the disease spreads, those numbers become smaller, the bad news is that we don't know by how much.