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How do you feel that stat is misleading? Is it too large, too small? Perhaps some articles are using is misleadingly, but it seems like it is a ballpark estimate made by an educated expert.

Do you have references for your bird assertions, this is an article from yesterday where dead birds are washing up on shore, with a quote from an expert:

"A lot of people are under the impression that birds can easily fly away from a fire, but that’s not true"

https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/it-s-a-sorry-sig...



For a coarse wildlife estimate like this, the range of uncertainty is probably about two orders of magnitude. So from 500 million "affected", the true range is 5-500 million or 50 million-5 billion, depending on who decided to truncate the range of uncertainty.

The conversion factor for "affected" to "killed"... I have no idea what it is, and there is contradictory intuition for its magnitude, so I don't want to trust any number until I see someone actually doing studies of wildfire mortality.


This is my primary point. The margin of error is two orders of magnitude. It's a bit absurd to throw a statistic around when it's such a huge unknown. I guess I'd be happier if margins of error were included with statistics at all times. Otherwise people think they are all equally certain




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