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Expected value != expected utility.

Just taking this seriously pretty much resolves all these problems.

It makes sense to take high cost/reward, low probability events seriously if the expected utility works out. Examples include reducing existential risk substantially, even at cost to short-term utility (say, in the form of well-being) to increase the probability that we can eventually figure out how to optimally arrange matter and energy and trigger a utilitronium shockwave.



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