Operating at a minimum? How do you come to that conclusion? From a pure cost of infrastructure perspective (ignoring all the human elements), the cloud is always more expensive than any other option. It’s got some of the most ridiculous margins and price gouging of any business out there.
I think the opposite will happen. Cloud providers are becoming commoditized. Kubernetes, blah blah. Developers hate lock-in, and on a long time scale, developers drive tech decisions. Nowadays new software is cloud agnostic, and it will continue to be that way. This is commoditization, which generally drives down prices.
That said, buying commodities from a market with four participants is more like buying from a cartel than a marketplace. I definitely worry about the consolidation of the world’s IT spending going into the coffers of three or four massively profitable and morally corrupt corporations.
Great call out for Kubernetes. I’m a full believer that it will turn cloud providers into dumb aggregations of compute/network/storage (like simple utility companies) for the deployment of CRDs and Operators, which will obviate the need for AWS services like EBS, Route 53, RDS, and many many other offerings. This will lower the cost to entry for competitors and lower prices for everyone.
I think the opposite will happen. Cloud providers are becoming commoditized. Kubernetes, blah blah. Developers hate lock-in, and on a long time scale, developers drive tech decisions. Nowadays new software is cloud agnostic, and it will continue to be that way. This is commoditization, which generally drives down prices.
That said, buying commodities from a market with four participants is more like buying from a cartel than a marketplace. I definitely worry about the consolidation of the world’s IT spending going into the coffers of three or four massively profitable and morally corrupt corporations.