> The thing is you cannot avoid hiring people for simple jobs, as they're local, physical and cannot be outsourced.
You wouldn't believe what jobs can be outsourced. There are hospitals and nursing homes in germany that send their laundry to poland because wages are lower there. There are restaurants in San Francisco that import sliced cucumbers from places that have a lower minimum wage.
Both of these share an important characteristic called volume. (Including due to regularity.)
Anything else would be already outsourced and/or centralized if labour costs dominate over transport. Polish labour costs are not even close to Chinese or say Romanian, while the hike is not big enough to overcome sunk costs in most other cases.
If you think aforementioned outsourced jobs would evaporate, your right.
You wouldn't believe what jobs can be outsourced. There are hospitals and nursing homes in germany that send their laundry to poland because wages are lower there. There are restaurants in San Francisco that import sliced cucumbers from places that have a lower minimum wage.