AI has too perfect of a sales pitch and surrounding narrative for business people to treat it rationally. The fact that philosophers who don't understand AI are debating AI philosophy is strong evidence of that. A crash is less likely this time around because it's being funded by established companies instead of the public market this time, but there has to be a moment of reckoning for the baloney eventually... I hope.
If you mean "philosophers who don't understand ML/gradient descent/linear algebra/statistics etc", I don't think many philosophers are debating about that stuff.
If you mean "philosophers who don't understand artificial intelligence", that would be all of them, and everyone else too, because no-one understands artificial intelligence yet. And a lot of the people who come closest to understanding it are in philosophy departments.
I more or less agree with your second point. Presently the philosophy of artificial intelligence is kind of like theology, it is molded by how people like to think more so than it is determined by reality. Sales pitches also tend to be molded by how people think. AI has that theological essence that makes people love it even if they don't understand it, and that makes it a lot easier to sell big GPU farms to companies that don't have a legitimate use.
