>
> calling it "pre-AGI" pretentious to the level of delusion.
>I don't think you know what you are talking about. Do you do Deep Learning? If you are not actively engaged in the field, I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss others who are (especially not others who are at the top of the field).
I do (or at least I try, I get money for my attempts though) and I concur with calling it delusion. So does Francois Cholet. So does Hinton to some degree, so does the founder of deepmind (or at least they did in 2017: https://venturebeat.com/2018/12/17/geoffrey-hinton-and-demis... ).
I want to like OpenAI, I think they did the right thing with GPT-2 and I give them a lot of credit for publishing things. That being said, I remain skeptical about AGI, highly skeptical about AGI being feasible, or the thing to worry about. I always make the argument that either research towards controlling an AGI/AGI alignment is a techified version of reserach into the problem of good global governance (in which case it is an interesting problem that desperately needs solving), or it is useless (because no matter how nicely you control the AGI, a non-accountable elite within the current system, the less-than-perfectly aligned government etc. will strongarm you into giving control to THEM before you come close to deploying it) or it is delusional (because you think you are smart enough to build AGI without these elites finding out AND smart and/or wise enough to do what is best for humanity).
> the less-than-perfectly aligned government etc. will strongarm you into giving control to THEM before you come close to deploying it
and
> because you think you are smart enough to build AGI without these elites finding out AND smart and/or wise enough to do what is best for humanity
Are very good points and I share those concerns too, and have no good answers. I'm in the pessimist camp when it comes to AGI--I would be heavily it's going to happen but I wouldn't bet a dollar whether it will end up being good for humanity, as I haven't a clue.
>I don't think you know what you are talking about. Do you do Deep Learning? If you are not actively engaged in the field, I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss others who are (especially not others who are at the top of the field).
I do (or at least I try, I get money for my attempts though) and I concur with calling it delusion. So does Francois Cholet. So does Hinton to some degree, so does the founder of deepmind (or at least they did in 2017: https://venturebeat.com/2018/12/17/geoffrey-hinton-and-demis... ).
I want to like OpenAI, I think they did the right thing with GPT-2 and I give them a lot of credit for publishing things. That being said, I remain skeptical about AGI, highly skeptical about AGI being feasible, or the thing to worry about. I always make the argument that either research towards controlling an AGI/AGI alignment is a techified version of reserach into the problem of good global governance (in which case it is an interesting problem that desperately needs solving), or it is useless (because no matter how nicely you control the AGI, a non-accountable elite within the current system, the less-than-perfectly aligned government etc. will strongarm you into giving control to THEM before you come close to deploying it) or it is delusional (because you think you are smart enough to build AGI without these elites finding out AND smart and/or wise enough to do what is best for humanity).