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> At most your example argues that asking inexperienced and clueless devs to estimate stuff they know nothing about produces highly unreliable information.

Wow, so much hubris in such as small post.

Unless you have been doing the exact same thing forever(in which case you are at a risk of being replaced), new work _always_ comes with a degree of uncertainty. Be it new technologies, new business requirements or what have you. I have never worked in two identical projects in my life.

The correct answer would be a 'spike' or proof of concept. Either that, or hire those magical developers you seem to have who know everything there is to know.



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