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No they are quite accurate. You are conflating electricity with energy. Energy is much more than just electricity.

Furthermore, when you hear countries like Denmark and Germany talk about x amount of percentage being wind or solar you need to remember a few very very important things.

1) They are talking about what that specific country produces, not what it consumes. 2) What it consumes includes what it imports. 3) Wind and solar only produce electricity which is only part of our energy consumption 4) You also have to factor in the capacity factor which for wind and solar is between 20-40% and nuclear is more or less 100%.

In other words, those high numbers only come from ignoring the entirety of energy needs. The renewable energy sector and its proponents are very disingenuous when they present their "success".



Your 3% prediction for wind/solar for 2040 seems dubious.

Here's BP projection:

https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/uncategorized/sna...

They have renewables (excluding hydro) supply about 15% of world primary energy demand (not just electric energy demand) in 2040 (although that also includes biomass, waste, and geothermal).

The other consideration is what the wind/solar displaces. 1 joule of wind or solar displaces several joules of primary fossil fuel energy, if the latter were being used for electric power generation. No one benefits from the fraction of fossil primary energy that gets dissipated as waste heat.




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