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If it landed on red 10 times in a row so far, the odds of landing another red on the next round are almost 50%. Gambler's fallacy is so much fun to observe at the tables though :)


Under the assumption that it is a fair table. So what is the likelihood that it is a fair table knowing that 1% of tables play 80% red?


In The Newtonian Casino (Might be called something else in the US) students who built computers in their shoes (in the 1970s!) to predict the outcome of roulette wheels discovered that lots of wheels had pretty severe tilts (which affected outcome) and that skilled croupiers had a "signature" -- they knew that particular wheel very well, and had practiced many times, and could increase their chance of hitting a particular number. (This is described in the chapter titled "Lady Luck").

It's a good book!

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Newtonian-Penguin-Science-29-Aug-19...


It's supposedly possible to predict to a reasonable degree of accuracy where a roulette ball will land if you know its speed (ie time it hits the wheel, and time to pass a predefined marker).

https://www.insidescience.org/news/physics-knowledge-can-til...


Also: Don't forget green. The 0 and 00 slices of the wheel are green because that's where the house makes their money.




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