An interesting fact that he picks out is that coordinating shutdown periods between suppliers would be in breach of anti-competition rules.
The crisis has overall highlighted the fact that shared production can cause issues. Ammonia is worth about $50 billion whereas CO2 is worth about $7 billion worldwide. This makes the CO2 market about 7 times more inelastic in supply than ammonia.
I find the gasworld article hard to read in comparison to the atlantic one. Three paragraphs in, and it still doesn't say anything, it just jumps from one subject to another without touching the main issue.
>...that coordinating shutdown periods between suppliers would be in breach of anti-competition rules.
Is this likely to be true? My, perhaps limited, understanding is that collusion is only evidence of illegal anti-competitive behaviour and is not illegal in itself...
Its a slightly grey area. This would be seen as illegal because it is an "agreement" to "limit or control production" which is prohibited by EU law article 101(1). However article 101(3) allows these agreements if it "contributes to improving the production or distribution of goods" and "allow consumers a fair share of the resulting benefit".
In a case in Australia [1] LNG producers had to apply to the government in order to coordinate shutdowns. The regulator concluded that they could approve this on the basis that there it was "likely to result in a public benefit" and that "reducing competition in the acquisition of maintenance services is unlikely to be significant" [2]
You could also see it as limiting (and controlling) the production of plant maintenance work.
For an example of why this is anti-competitive imagine there are 4 producers A, B, C and D. A, B and C agree that they will co-ordinate shutdowns such that they are shut down for four months of the year each. D is not party to this agreement so must shutdown at a time when one of the other producers is shutdown. During this time their are only 2 producers online meaning increased prices and a net benefit to A, B and C whilst the cost of getting maintenance engineers will also increase because they are working simultaneously with either A, B or C which is a net loss to D.
> However article 101(3) allows these agreements if it "contributes to improving the production or distribution of goods" and "allow consumers a fair share of the resulting benefit".
According to the FTC [1], price fixing is almost always illegal. From the link: "An agreement to restrict production, sales, or output is just as illegal as direct price fixing, because reducing the supply of a product or service drives up its price."
An interesting fact that he picks out is that coordinating shutdown periods between suppliers would be in breach of anti-competition rules.
The crisis has overall highlighted the fact that shared production can cause issues. Ammonia is worth about $50 billion whereas CO2 is worth about $7 billion worldwide. This makes the CO2 market about 7 times more inelastic in supply than ammonia.