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MIT PhD grad, former Tesla Autopilot software, currently at Waymo.

I will bet against the article. You will not be able to buy a L4 self driving car in the next 5 years, at minimum.



I doubt you’ll be able to buy a personal level 4 anytime soon, it doesn’t make sense to use them as anything but fleet/taxi vehicles since they can just come to you whenever needed.


I don’t want to buy one; I want to be able to summon one on demand. Same timeline?


Buying a L4 car may be not possible. Because I don't even think they will start selling them initially. May be we can bet on number of L4 cars in operation after 5 years.


Any likelihood of this vehicles being at times(say on the highway) autonomous and at times remotely driven ? Does this work technically , and maybe legally ?


so what's your guesstimate?


Similar background and profession - putting aside whether an individual would ever want to own one, general purpose passenger autonomy won't happen for probably another decade. Limited domain autonomy will be here in before 5 years, though. It'll just suck.

But the first step to getting good at something is sucking at it.


Ish. I still can't do a pointe, even though I've been sucking at it for [redacted] years.




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