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The 'greenhouse effect' (which was the umbrella term for what is now called climate change) was widely discussed in the 80s and 90s and taught in schools, at least in Australia.

As a child I learned that many metropolitan cities would be underwater by the year 2000.



The science confirming man made climate change was presented in the 1970's, many have known since then we are the cause of the earths warming. It has been settled science for the better part of 30 years. It has been taught in schools around the world since the mid 1980's as part of Science and Geography Curriculums including some of its known impacts such as the rise of sea levels.


I'm not sure what you're adding there. Sure, we knew about global warming then, but we also knew New York would be underwater.


I don't think "we" knew that.


'We' meaning people who were exposed to the concept of the greenhouse effect.


I didn't learn that most cities would be underwater by 2000.


You might be a bit younger than me. I remember doing a project on the greenhouse effect in grade 3, which would have been... 1988?

The year 2000 seemed way off then, so people felt pretty comfortable predicting doomsday scenarios.

I believe in climate change now, but I also take every underwater city the BBC shows with a grain of salt.


I decided to do a Google newspaper archive survey just to see what people were saying back then. I'll be honest, the articles seem pretty close to the mark from what I see.

For instance, a 1988 article says scientists warn that pollutants already have committed the planet in "30 years to 50 year to its highest temperatures in 10,000 years"; in 2017 I would say that (based on our reconstructed temperature estimates) this prediction is likely (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temperature_record_of_the_past...).

There is an article in 1983 predicting a 3.6 degree rise by 2040 (https://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1928&dat=19831019&id=...) and one in 1982 predicting a 4 to 5 degree temperature rise in 50 years (https://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1946&dat=19820326&id=...). Being American articles, you convert Fahrenheit to Celsius; this seems very consistent with modern predictions on the climate. The current temperature anomaly is about 1C (https://www2.ucar.edu/climate/faq/what-average-global-temper... an additional 1C by 2040-2050 is within the scope of current climate change models, as far as I know.

I don't doubt that there were some people that projected overly pessimistic doomsday scenarios of flooded cities by the end of 2000 (though to be honest most of the articles I'm encountering more warn of 2100), but for me this is actually is an interesting confirmation; even 30 years ago, the scientists had a model in place that has proven to be way more resilient than some of the deniers would have it.




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