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I am old enough to remember three A.I. booms and two intervening "winters". The first boom was picking all the low hanging fruit like playing checkers, moving blocks, solving word problems. The power of computers in the 60s and 70s was pitiful. Then the easy stuff was done for while.

The second boom was expert systems and logic super computers. Those systems never worked that well and A.I. went into long sleep.

Now its supercomputer data mining and greatly improved neural networks.




It's different this time!


I think GP is saying it actually is different this time.


I don't think there's going to be a winter this time. The current boom may only take us so far, but there are a couple more booms on the horizon that in all likelihood will be cusping well before this one is finished.


Care to give any examples of those upcoming booms?


Well it really is. Though they are all called "A.I.", they are wildly different fields with little in common.


All computer science is AI, including before computers existed. Boole even called his logic the "Laws of Thought". It's just the goal-posts that move.




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