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A lot of arrogance to automatically assume any other country is in a worse position without any information. What if the person was posting from China on a VPN? How would the statement remain true then?

Yes, China specifically is also in a worse position than the US in this trade war.

> China specifically is also in a worse position than the US in this trade war

Bond market says what now?

China has spent every day since 2016 preparing for this war. We, who launched it, didn't even bother to stockpile. While it's true the Chinese economy will likely suffer more short-term pain, Xi doesn't have midterms. Beyond his tools as a dictator, he has narrative on his side: we started the trade war. People are generally willing to take a lot of pain when they feel they're being fucked with. (Exhibit A: Trump.)

So yes, China's economy will probably contract more than America's. But there is a reason Trump is already blinking.


Sorry JumpCrissCross. I know you're a smart dude, but I don't think the bond market has an undisputed reputation for predicting the outcomes of a sub-warfare, nation v nation conflict.

China can't even feed itself. They couldn't open the Red Sea. Their non-US trading partners are not wealthy. They have a lot to lose (hence the decade long prep).

You are very correct about the population dynamics though. China is united, the US has very smart people like yourself in extreme opposition to the trade war.


Why might that be?


Yes, let's mention the middle class squeeze, but also conveniently not talk about America's tipping culture problem which would increase reluctance to sit down at a restaurant. Yes, let's completely ignore that.

Everyone obviously wants to pay extra so they can be constantly badgered and rushed out the door like cattle, and if you complain about any aspect of this, the white knights come out to drown you as they say it's your fault for not understanding the plight of the woe-is-me restaurant worker and there's absolutely nothing to be done other than shame you into not going out to eat.

I wonder why sit-down restaurants are declining.


Do they really talk to you about it directly? Last thing I want is to feel guilty even going out to a meal


Perhaps. I read about horror stories of servers chasing leaving customers and harrassing them for not tipping or too little.

But of course GP was deliciously ironic, so take all with a grain of salt and a dash of black humor.


> I wonder why sit-down restaurants are declining.

Not because of tipping.


You're wrong. Please go to this link and see how many results appear for "tip"

https://old.reddit.com/r/Anticonsumption/comments/1ju1n53/cn...


The rise of kiosk tip screens changes this. You are asked to tip someone behind a counter.

Tipping is not stopping a meaningful amount of people from going out.


LOL thanks for the laughs. But yes seriously though, most kinds of data analysis jobs several rungs down the ladder where the result is not in a critical path amount to reaffirming what upper people believe. Don't rock the boat.


Do you mean to say funding impacted chemistry/chemical engineering at UC Berkeley a lot? Berkeley's chemistry majors have always been top in the nation, and there is a "College of Chemistry", separate from the other science (and even engineering) majors which makes it stand out from the rest of the country. So maybe the funding goes there just because it's already a historically distinguished place for chemistry.


Is there a reasonable scenario where enough people vote "no" here? It seems unlikely, so a nuanced discussion where pros and cons are considered seems more productive. Seems like a yes/no vote makes more sense if there is actual contention or disagreement among internal factions.

If you vote no, you'll basically be seen as the stickler person without a good reason.

18 people are missing (abstained?), so could that be interpreted as an ambiguous "no"?


In a slightly different reality, most members might reasonably vote no if it was deemed too costly for the organization's budget, or if the champion of the project was seen as unreliable, or if there were genuine concerns with the chosen contractor. Some of these could change after a short bit -- a sudden funding source appears, a different leader of the project steps up, or they address concerns with the contractor bid.


Probably acts more like a project lead election


Apple leans its weight heavily on controversial smartphone changes and defines trends for the rest of the industry, even when it's not the first company to do so. When it removed the headphone jack, introduced the screen notch, or added a camera bump, everyone followed afterward despite the grumbling.

So keeping that in mind, regarding the modem, I remember prior comments about it being near-impossible or extremely difficult for Apple to cut out Qualcomm because of the decentralized network of mobile towers, operators, proprietary information, legacy cruft, edge cases, hardware and geographical testing, etc., which Qualcomm handles as part of its value-add. If Apple starts spearheading changes in how phone modems work, could we imagine mobile towers playing along and converging? Or is it more entrenched than that?

Prior discussion

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41287977


> extremely difficult for Apple to cut out Qualcomm

it was extremely difficult, they have been working on this since at least ~6 years, maybe longer and involved buying intel 5G modem business

it also is lacking UWB which either Apple has given up on or is bringing back with future revisions of their modem


My best guess is that it’s for differentiation. For example, the SE never had Qi when the rest of the lineup did.


My iPhone SE 2 right next to me is charging on its Qi puck right now. The SE have never had Magsafe, which allows a phone to be charged aligned with magnets.


I don't think anyone thought it was literally impossible, just really, really hard and with a ton of corner cases and micro-optimizations necessary. But remember, they've been at this for a long time now: they bought Intel's modem business in 2019 and Intel presumably had several years worth of work on it before that. I guess this is the year when they've ground out enough of the bugs to at least ship it on a non-flagship device.


>If Apple starts spearheading changes in how phone modems work, could we imagine mobile towers playing along and converging? Or is it more entrenched than that?

Do You mean Telco Equipment vendor converging? Well first thing is that 4g / 5G or 3GPP is an open standard so anyone could implement it. Second is that there are only a few Telco Equipment vendor left already. There will still be insane amount of testing required to be done even if everyone were to use the same equipment. The amount of variables such as spectrum, regulations requirements, physical space and density as well as weather difference.


> extremely difficult for Apple to cut out Qualcomm

4G and above are open standards, and Samsung, Huawei and MediaTek have all previously created their own cellular modem implementations.

It's not easy, but if your market share is big enough, you come out ahead.


Unfortunately, the worst example they set is the locked-down device + an app store.


Not seeing examples of comments claiming it being "near-impossible" in your linked discussion. Most of those comments are just grumbling about eSIMs.


The other phonemakers didn't grumble about the jack because they realized they could pull the same scam


Oh please. They all made fun of it and THEN switched a year later


Takes a year to make whatever their copy of AirPods was


Except they are all pretty bad compared to AirPods. I didn't believe it myself until I tried them. I thought it was bs, overpriced crap that "Apple people" buy. I was ignorant on this matter. Apple has something there. The new AirPods Pro Gen 2 are mind-blowing, in a way that most people will probably like, and this is coming from a guy subscribed to /r/audiophile


Do they fit my ears yet?


That's the problem for me too. Either too big or too small.

Need to buy 3rd party silicone inserts.


Sure but they also leaned heavily into the “we still have an aux jack hurr hurr hurr” while they figured out how to copy Apple


I'm wondering if Samsung was 90% working on their earbuds and 10% hoping they'd see people switch from iPhone (which turns out didn't happen)


Not all though. Sony retains the jack, screen without cutouts and the SD slot.


They really did themselves dirty calling it a notch, drawing attention to the loss of space. They should have used something like "extra screen ears" - implying you are getting some extra space around the sensors.


Did Apple themselves actually call it that? On the debut, I think they only called it the "true depth camera system" https://youtu.be/aEoVcYQ8caM?si=bf2Xxv7VeFPONVyO&t=482

Scanning through, it was pretty silly how much the iPhone X was about mocapped emojis.


I mean Apple wasn't the first to drop the jack either, there were other brands that had.


I have no experience in woodworking and metalworking, but I would love for there to be a low-cost way I can start learning or familiarizing routines and techniques. I currently don't even know where to start because I don't have anyone in-person to learn from. I could watch a bunch of YouTube videos, but that sounds less fun than a set of guides or tutorials in VR.


Why not take a class?


Can you explain? I must have the wrong impression, but isn't nuclear-related work specifically in the USA a declining or dying industry? Are there really plenty of jobs when Americans keep posturing away from nuclear? I knew no one from university interested in doing nuclear-related engineering for industry.


That's why there is work, no supply of fresh grads.


There's a lot more to such skills than bombs and power plants:

https://natural-resources.canada.ca/climate-change/medical-i...


Data centers will pretty much absorb any person with military nuclear power experience, even cases of people who completely washed out of the program.

As for nuclear missile programs in this case, I'm pretty positive that field will still have similar desirable high points. Reliability, understanding procedures, actually understanding procedures to know when/how/why scripts are broken in some cases, and having such socially toxic work environment that even an Amazon job feels like fresh air.


> Data centers will pretty much absorb any person with military nuclear power experience

Could you elaborate why is that? They seem to be unrelated areas.


At least one the Navy Nuke side, they need to survive what colleges count as 50 to 92 credits in a year and a half. So considerable levels of training.

Anything govt. Nuclear is also going to have "interesting" relationships with procedures. Essentially planning them out, proving them as functional, and being pretrained think about current conditions compared what the procedure thinks is correct. Also trained to analyze when to step into a casualty or recovery procedure properly.


Search about Microsoft/google/amazon projects for nuclear powered data centers or for AI training


Those still seem to be projects years away from completion (and they also have projects for fusion powered data centers - which are 30 years away, I guess?), yet I've interpreted the chain of comments as "Nuclear workers which were laid off _now_ can easily be absorbed by data centers almost immediately".


This way of thinking has been debated for a long time. It's not clear or self-evident doing it the way you describe is the best way to handle things. Sure, it's more self-righteous and sounds good on paper, but does it really hold? https://wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradox_of_tolerance


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