My uber bill for 2014 is almost $2000 so far, and it's only June. I know that SF is not the rest of the country, but it has absolutely changed the way I get around.
That said, think about the possibilities that could come if one of their major backers (Google) continues to push forward with self driving vehicles. They will have excellent real time traffic data reported back through each vehicle on Waze, and a super efficient dispatch system. They could run 24/7 with electric driverless vehicles with crazy low operating costs. It could turn the entire industry on its head.
The economics would shift so drastically it wouldn't just be Uber vs taxies, it would be Uber vs does it make sense at all to even own your own vehicle. The automated vehicles could have utilization figures that are unheard of today. Why would you buy your own vehicle when you could have an automated Uber pick you up in 3 minutes for dirt cheap?
I think that time will come, probably sooner than we realize. And when it does, Uber will be positioned as the default dispatch gateway.
If you've spent $2000 in six months on Uber then, IMO, it is more of a damning indictment of SF public transit than it is a demonstration of how great Uber is.
Here in NYC I can't imagine spending that much on taxis. Thankfully, the subway system is serviceable.
I've wondered if Fedex and UPS would just manage the long-haul intercity transportation with either driverless trucks or something else. Then they also still staff tons of warehouses at the city hubs. From there, it could be Google/Uber (Goober?) from the warehouse to the door.
Am I the only one who thinks Uber prices are ridiculous compared to the yellow taxi ? I am fairly well to do, but am shocked by how no one flinches at the fare structure of Uber compared to yellow cab (which might be a tad bit more inconvenient in NYC but not that much to justify paying 2x-3x the price!). I feel I am really missing something here or maybe just underestimate the ability of people to spend vs. save.
If I spent $2000 on cab fare so far, I would probably freak out a bit.
In Boston UberX has wound up being about 75% of Taxis I had taken the same trips with every time I have used UberX. Then again I generally tip 20% in taxis so if I were a non-tipper the prices would be much more comparable.
Admittedly I am only using it between the hours of 12:00 AM and 2:00 AM to get home from bars.
The temperament of drivers has been a welcome change with uberX vs cab, I had a cab ride in Boston which was suspiciously high once (2x what previous identical trips had been), and I questioned how it was calculated and the response was 'It is not my job to know how it is calculated' to which I said 'Actually that is your job', that time I did not tip.
In my experience, UberX is way cheaper than a cab. From my place in the Mission District to 2nd/Mission is usually like $12-13 via UberX. Cab used to cost me like $17.
In LA we took an UberX from Venice to Downtown, it was ~$35, cab was ~$55.
Uber doesn't make it easy to know. Over the weekend I took an NYC taxi one way in my journey, it cost $26. I tried to get a fare estimate for an UberX for the way back and it said "$23 - $37". That's a huge window - and they're not telling me what affects it.
And we haven't even started on surge pricing. Uber sells itself as cheaper than a taxi, but in many ways (in NYC) it is not.
From all the replies it appears to me that
- in SF, either UberX is very cheap or normal taxis are ridiculous.
- At least in NYC, the pricing is still much higher. And the huge variance in the price adds another degree of uncertainty, where you could still end up paying huge amounts.
It would be nice for Uber to publish some comparative data in this regard. But I think that's not their main pitch.
They now have a fare calculator for NYC athttps://www.uber.com/cities/new-york. It is pretty broken as all my addresses end up getting mapped to Brooklyn or Queens for some reason.
But for the prices I saw, UberX is 30-50% higher than yellow cab. So my 2x-3x estimate is certainly out of date.
UberX is significantly (40%-50%?) more than a NYC yellow cab. Its basically $6 base for uberX (versus $2.50 for yellow cab), $.75/minute for in-traffic in uberX (versus $.50 for yellow cab). Also uber's threshold speed for traffic is much higher than NYC's (below 11mph = traffic for uber, vs below 6mph = traffic for yellow cab), which means that more often than not you are in this (more expensive) price tier. Its hard to average over 11mph if you are going cross town in Manhattan.
$24,000 a year is not a bill most Americans can afford.
Where are you getting $24,000 from? The parent to your comment said he has spent $2,000 so far this year, extrapolating that out says he might spend ~$5,000 on Uber by year end. I think the average American easily spends $5,000 on a vehicle annually. I probably spend at least half that amount just on gas.
In fact, that $5k is probably close to what you'd spend just on parking and insurance in a major city like SF (i.e. your costs if you never used the vehicle but already owned it). If you add in car payments, gas, maintenance there is likely a significant savings from using Uber vs owning a car.
Come on guys, think about this critically for just a few minutes.
First of all, what kind of insane person pays $5k for parking and insurance? I have a new car with fairly high rates and pay about $1,100 in insurance. My parking expenditure (yes, I live in SF) is maybe $10 a week -- we'd need to imagine a parking expenditure of about $80 a week to get my total parking plus insurance to come out to $5,000 a year. I'm sure some people pay $5k for parking and insurance -- but those people are self-evidently not cost-sensitive.
As to gas and maintenance, you obviously pay those for an Uber car just like you pay for it for your own car -- in fact, you pay more for these mileage-related costs, since the car has to drive over to you as well as drive you wherever you go. Unless the driver is operating at a loss, your fare obviously more than covers the gas and maintenance fees, ergo you're paying it. Just because you don't personally stand at the pump does not mean you aren't paying for it.
You also, just as obviously, pay the insurance costs for a ride-for-hire vehicle that you're in. Indeed, the insurance costs are probably inherently higher than the ones for your personal vehicle.
> First of all, what kind of insane person pays $5k for parking and insurance?
> My parking expenditure (yes, I live in SF) is maybe $10 a week
"You'd have to be insane to get the unusually low rate I get on parking!"
Please tell me this is a joke. This is as dumb as saying "I can't believe people let themselves get so ripped off on their rent: I pay $900/mo to live downtown under rent control, why don't they just do that?" For some actual data instead of nonsense like what you're saying, look at something like: http://sfbay.craigslist.org/sfc/prk/
You can't really find a parking spot for less than $250 (~$62/wk). I expected this to not be the case in some outlying areas, but it looks like you have to go all the way to Glen Park to find parking for cheaper than that. Parking that comes with rentals is cheaper (about $150/mo generally), but not everyone has that option and I'm sure you agree that it's idiotic to say that you have to be "insane" to happen to live somewhere that doesn't come with a parking spot option. Either way, parking is 3-5x what you seem to think it is.
> As to gas and maintenance, you obviously pay those for an Uber car just like you pay for it for your own car -- in fact, you pay more for these mileage-related costs, since the car has to drive over to you as well as drive you wherever you go.
Your math is wayyyyy off here. You pay a minuscule fraction of the insurance costs for an Uber: largely because you're paying in proportion to your usage, and all the times that the car is parked or picking up other fares is not your responsibility to pay for. By contrast, even if you drive the exact same amount you would've Uber'ed, you don't get to tell the insurance company "I only drove 3 out of every 24 hrs this week, so I'm going to pay you 1/8 the premium". TL;DR for this paragraph: You seem to be completely forgetting the fact that insurance (and maintenance) related costs are driven down by increased utilization, and almost by definition an Uber has infinitely higher utilization than an owned car.
It is trivial to spend much, much, much less money on parking than you seem to imagine is common. You don't need to park downtown, which is well-served by BART, Caltrain, Muni, etc. (and which is a nightmare to drive in anyway). Parking at a BART station is $2 per day.
If you want to spend thousands of dollars a year on unnecessary parking expenses for the dubious convenience of having a car downtown, hey, more power to you. But you clearly are not very driven by cost-consciousness.
No meaningful fraction of your insurance costs for your car cover the time it is parked, because your car is not meaningfully at risk when it is parked. You do, in fact, tell your insurance company how much you drive your car when you pick up your insurance. You don't get to do this on a week-by-week basis because of transactional costs[1], but it's part of the standard form you filled out when you got your insurance. Uber drivers need to carry much more, and more expensive, insurance than you do due to the fact that they drive much more (and routinely have strangers in their cars).
I can't imagine how you think that maintenance costs are driven down by driving more. Is it your contention that driving more makes your car work better?
[1] Actually, I think that some insurance companies are experimenting with monitoring devices in cars that give you a lower rate, so maybe this is becoming more possible. But I'm not at all familiar with the details.
I have multiple vehicles, but I think I pay on average about $700/vehicle/year.
Parking varies widely, the last time I had a parking garage subscription in Cambridge (MA), it was ~$130/month.
Gas, insurance, simple parking and a couple of oil changes gets me very close to $5,000 easily.
The relative insurance and maintenance prices rolled in the Uber price vs. private vehicle costs don't really matter. All that matters is out of pocket dollars. Sure, you might be paying an effective insurance rate on the Uber of 2x your private insurance cost, but unlike private insurance which you pay for 24/7/365 (effectively), you're only paying the insurance cost to Uber when you're actually riding. So, it can very easily work out in your favor even if some of the unit costs seem abnormally high.
In Seattle, over the last 8 years I've averaged 2933$/year on my car (which I own outright). That includes insurance, licensing fees, parking, gas, maintenance, tickets, rental costs, gps, and tolls.
I don't think you can make a compelling case for a taxi service vs car ownership based on cost -- but rather convenience.
Perhaps not in Seattle. I'm pretty sure the costs you mention are higher in SF (just like everything else...) depending on your circumstances, it can start to approach a no-brainer. Recently, I've probably been spending in the neighborhood of 80 to 100 dollars a weekend on Uber (~$2100-$2600/yr), and the guy above mentioned he spends roughly ~5000/yr on Uber. The cost of owning a car ranges from 5000 to 15000 a year[1][2][3], and it's substantially more expensive in San Francisco because this doesn't include parking, tickets, and tolls, so you can tack on another ~3000 for parking alone, minimum. (at ~250/mo, pretty much minimum)[4]. It doesn't take a lot of imagination to see how for people in certain situations (e.g., no long commute), the cost alone could be more than worth it.
Yep, I've spent a ton the past couple years as well, and it's by far the only tech company that I've spent more than a couple grand on. I'm not sure if OP used this but if anyone's curious to know how much they've spent/are spending on Uber rides, I wrote a small Chrome extension for that: https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/uber-spender/kmjde...
While there are plenty of perfectly valid reasons to not want to move to the bay area, I'm not sure that I would list exceptionally pervasive racism among them.
I know we're not supposed to make these kinds of comments in HN, but yours made me laugh.
Welcome to September, where the NSA can keep any data it accidentally collected about US persons for five years if its plaintext. And if that data is encrypted, it can keep data on US persons forever.
1. If you don't believe in globalization, you can legitimately lock out foreign competition and insist on an all-American supply chain, keeping jobs and money in the US.
2. It allows you to bring home the pork. Military contractors have a proven willingness to situate assembly plants to deliver jobs in politically convenient locations.
3. It's compatible with Libertarian/Tea Party beliefs, as military spending tends to get a free pass from the balanced budget brigade.
4. People will call you "a hawk" and "strong on defense" and "supporting our troops". Or at least they won't call you the opposite of those things.
5. Spending on things like DARPA funds cool things like the internet and the DARPA Grand Challenge and robots and things. Pretty sciencey and cool.
> 3. It's compatible with Libertarian/Tea Party beliefs, as military spending tends to get a free pass from the balanced budget brigade.
Tea Party, maybe, but not libertarian. Reason, Cato, and the like are highly critical of military spending and very frequently chastise mainstream Republicans for focussing on discretionary and entitlement spending while ignoring the military spending.
I agree. I think Military Keynesianism is a bad economic policy.
I have seen lots of articles that discuss wasteful DoD spending. But I see very few that discuss __why__ the DoD spends money this way. And why it continues. This type of spending is not a new phenomenon.
To me these "why" questions are the most important and intellectually interesting aspects of these issues. But they are often ignored.
There's been a lot of tech worker backlash in SF lately. Not to speak for Tom, but I've certainly been made uncomfortable after mentioning it to someone who then proceeded to bash "all these Google types" who are forcing out the "true San Franciscans" and "ruining the culture of the city".
I'd figure that it's more due to differing opinions on things like Test::Unit vs Rspec, Haml vs Erb etc than your publisher. Still, not a good excuse to go unrecognized. RW3 was excellent, and I'm sure 4 is as well. Best of luck.
"The Rails 3 Way" certainly wasn't excellent, it was clearly a rushed update of the original "The Rails Way", it uses a lot of old practices all over the place and the stuff new in Rails 3 is just added as an afterthought.
Author here. It took nearly two years to get that rewrite done. A lot of things changed in Rails 3 right at the end of our production cycle so admittedly it was a challenge to get it all to the finish line in the best possible way. That won't be the case with the new edition. I have a stellar team helping me get this done properly and we're using the excellent Leanpub system to release the book incrementally and ensure the finished product is of the highest quality. Much different situation.
Just ordered tr4w - at leanpub it says "These authors use Leanpub to publish this book independently." I'm just curious whether that's accurate, since you refer to Addison-Wesley as
"us"? Thanks
I have a special arrangement with AW to publish independently via leanpub. Book will also be on sale via traditional retail channels once the hardcopy is ready later this year. We view it as separate channels. Traditional retail hits a different customer segment, especially when you start taking into account corporate subscribers to Safari and companies that do bulk purchases, etc.
Co-Author here: I'm part of the team that is helping write The Rails 4 Way. Just to address your concerns, we have gone through the existing manuscript and removed everything that isn't best practice today. On top of that, we are covering all the new Rails 4 features, and important gems/techniques valuable to a Rails developer today. The second half of the book is going through a big revamp right now. Look for updates in the coming weeks.
Since the Book is not 'the factory default stack of Rails' but rather the Rails "way" we certainly do have an opinion about what is considered the most popular and efficient way of building Rails apps. This does mean we use HAML throughout the book, because honestly, we all think its a better choice. Personally, since we converted to HAML at Astrails several years ago, I cringe every time I have to deal with ERB. Its just too verbose and it doesn't present the structure as obviously as HAML. Same for the rest of the 'opinions' in the book. YMMW
At one point Rails 4 was considering Test::Spec, and I for one was disappointed when that was dropped, as it was an opportunity to standardise on declarative style tests in a lightweight native library, and might have stood a chance of building enough momentum to build a groundswell of support.
As it is, while one can of course still use Test::Spec, you're likely to be in a small minority.
Sun started the trend when Guy Steele and Gilad Bracha (among others) wrote the initial Java Language Specification. Microsoft has a strong team of PL researchers, including Mads Torgersen and many people at MSRC (who published a paper on formalizing Async in ECOOP 2012), to do this work, which I think is very useful.
That said, think about the possibilities that could come if one of their major backers (Google) continues to push forward with self driving vehicles. They will have excellent real time traffic data reported back through each vehicle on Waze, and a super efficient dispatch system. They could run 24/7 with electric driverless vehicles with crazy low operating costs. It could turn the entire industry on its head.
The economics would shift so drastically it wouldn't just be Uber vs taxies, it would be Uber vs does it make sense at all to even own your own vehicle. The automated vehicles could have utilization figures that are unheard of today. Why would you buy your own vehicle when you could have an automated Uber pick you up in 3 minutes for dirt cheap?
I think that time will come, probably sooner than we realize. And when it does, Uber will be positioned as the default dispatch gateway.