I think we are in a price discovery phase overall for human labor.
Just like financial markets, this phase is very volatile. But today’s price can look much different in 1, 2, 5, and 10 years.
Right now there’s a lot of opportunity to disrupt companies who are moving much slower since adoption can vary greatly.
But I think in a few years this meta will be overcrowded. The overall skill/productivity gap across companies will be reduced and the bar for productivity will be raised.
There’s room for taking profits now from the productivity gains but I don’t think it will last long.
If AI is really increasing productivity enough to reduce headcount right now, it won’t be in future. If all your competitors are using AI as effectively as you are, can you still do this?
The world’s demand for productivity is limitless. As of right now you still need someone to at least install Claude Code and run the binary.
I constantly see people saying Apple displays are a terrible value. Last Apple display I had was the Thunderbolt 27 but from now on I'm sticking with Apple.
I've had nothing but issues with non-Apple monitors as well. Customer service ime is non-existent if you need a repair. For something I rely on to get work done, I'm starting to think the premium is worth it.
I'm an American that has been living in Asia for a years.
I actually hated the web design at first but now I much prefer it and find it difficult to use American apps with the modern tech aesthetic now.
I noticed that I started to get annoyed doing things like filling forms. I feel like American apps tend to reduce complex flows into simpler decisions but requiring more steps. It feels like my brain is wired to want to see as much information at once now.
Go into planning mode and plan the overall refactor. Try to break the tasks down into things that you think will fit into a single context window.
For mid sized tasks and up, architecture absolutely has to be done up front in planning mode. You can ask it questions like "what are some alternatives?", "which approach is better?".
If it's producing spaghetti code, can you explain exactly what it's doing wrong? If you have an idea of what ideal solution should look like, it's not too difficult to guide the LLM to it.
In your prompt files, include bad and good examples. I have prompt files for API/interface design, comment writing, testing, etc. Some topics I split into multiple files like criteria for testing, testing conventions.
I've found the prompts where they go "you are a X engineer specializing in Y" don't really do much. You have to break things down into concrete instructions.
Does this support adding family members on a single account? I have some non technical family members who I'd like to manage it for them and giving them their own account is most likely going to be a major headache.
Hmm I’ve started doing some elixir as a side project and coming from typescript honestly I’ve found it a bit “dumb” and slow at the beginning. It didn’t allow you to write precise enough types, and would complain a lot about weird things.
As the project became more complex though, and I learned more about elixir, dialyzer became progressively more useful.
Most of the time when I chase a weird type error in TypeScript it turned out that the types were not correct enough and had to be fixed.
When I’m chasing weird dialyzer complaints, most of the time I discover that it was actually a bug in my code. Honestly sometimes I’m astonished how it can reason about very complex things so well. It’s just the error messages are usually very confusing, but with experience that kinda solves itself.
The difference to me so far has been that dialyzer finds bugs in my code, rather than in my types, which is quite nice.
If they make the built-in type system of elixir faster and with better error messages, I’ll be a very happy camper.
1. Since it's an extended display over wireless, bandwidth limitations mean you're limited to just a single 4k resolution monitor floating in space (they mentioned that it simulates a single 4k monitor in the demo)
2. You also would have to bring your laptop with you
To me, one of the major value propositions for something like the Vision Pro would be that it could replace your laptop entirely. But it doesn't seem like that will be the case, at least based on what they've announced.
I'm about 80% sure they'll come up with an USB-C -> Vision cable you can use to plug in to your Mac.
Or the power bank is an USB-C bank and you can just detach the cable from it and plug it in directly and use the laptop's battery + get a wired connection.
Well you can have the laptop as a single screen floating in space and then other floating screens that are running off the Vision Pro, e.g. your web browser, docs, etc.
Quest Pro weights 722g while MacBook Air 15 weights 1.5kg. How can you expect it's twice heavier than Quest? It's completely unacceptable for most people's head.
Hmm, I guess you could take it that way. But things that light only really get tiring if the weight is poorly distributed. It's more about the size and sort of bag it's likely to be in.
Not a professional but I think I follow markets pretty closely for a retail trader.
Twitter / FinTwit is the best
Level of discussion is not always great but I find its way better than anywhere else. Twitter Spaces usually have great discussions since people are less likely to troll vs tweets.
One thing I've found though is if the person is getting too cocky and going on victory laps, it's pretty much always a good time to counter trade them.
You'll be able to find some great Substack's, Podcasts, Youtube channels from Twitter as well if you're following the right people.
Some that I follow
- @fedguy12 - macro
- @JulianMI2 - macro
- @biancoresearch - macro
- @acrossthespread - Japan macro
- @anasalhajji - energy
- Pretty much any central bank, government official
- Fund managers. Many of them aren't too active and just crosspost links to videos. Cliff Asness is one that is active though
Podcasts:
- Forward Guidance
- Odd Lots
Reddit I find is usually not much better than SeekingAlpha, Zero Hedge, etc. even on the more "serious" subreddits. Most of the posters are John Bogle acolytes or post the Warren Buffet quote on buying index funds. A lot of the threads don't have much besides "you should buy a broad based index fund with a lump sum [link to Vanguard whitepaper] [link to backtest starting from year 2000-2010]".
HN is still way better than Reddit on the rare finance/economics post. Every finance thread you'll get a few people who have unique insights/opinions but I think the majority is still a lot of retail market participants who just regurgitate the Reddit stuff.
Just like financial markets, this phase is very volatile. But today’s price can look much different in 1, 2, 5, and 10 years.
Right now there’s a lot of opportunity to disrupt companies who are moving much slower since adoption can vary greatly.
But I think in a few years this meta will be overcrowded. The overall skill/productivity gap across companies will be reduced and the bar for productivity will be raised.
There’s room for taking profits now from the productivity gains but I don’t think it will last long.
If AI is really increasing productivity enough to reduce headcount right now, it won’t be in future. If all your competitors are using AI as effectively as you are, can you still do this?
The world’s demand for productivity is limitless. As of right now you still need someone to at least install Claude Code and run the binary.
reply