I can't stand people posting this website on HN. Polymarket is a bunch of gambling addicts just throwing money at a wall - there's no market research or actual backing insight. It has such intellectual rhetoric as:
> if you look closely, you can see DUMFUQ Sucks-His-Balls BUYING HIGH, then SELLING LOW! Dumfuq SUCKS-HIS-BALLS must have confused this for a Ceasefire market to trade like shit!
I think you've shown Polymarket comments are crap. But I'd say that for every venue on the internet except, occasionally, HN.
While there is legitimate concern around manipulation given Polymarket's thin volumes [1], there is limited evidence that the broader value of prediction markets applies to them [2]. (I started taking it seriously after Nate Silver hitched up his wagon [3].)
I'm sceptical of political predictions. I have limited respect for crypto. But on the balance, once you account for manipulation risk, it has a good track record. More pointedly to OP's question, I don't see any controversy around its adjudication and ability to pay.
That's how the stock market works as well. The only people with actually valuable information are a very tiny fraction of the participants. And that's fine. Wisdom of crowds will still prevail.
I don't think they can, as AFAIK the agreement for x86_64 is that Intel and AMD cannot change hands. AMD will surely fight this tooth and nail in the courts
But with the state of the courts today... who knows..
For my aging eyes, Apple Watch Ultra is the only watch where I can have time and date and read it comfortably. I used to have a cheap casio that would do the same job, but the digits are getting too small for my eyes.
TBH I only use the Apple Watch as a dumb watch. I have disabled all notifications and smart features. Just time and heart-rate when I exercise.
I’ve dabbled in explaining the FT some, and I think there’s an important trait of that video that needs to be highlighted: it’s a superb demonstration of what the Fourier transform does, mechanically, but it does not at all try to explain why it works in the places we usually apply it or how (having, admittedly, a thoroughly anachronistic mathematical background) you could have invented it.
To be extra clear: it’s a very good video and you should watch it if you don’t have a feel for the Fourier transform. I’m just trying to proactively instil a tiny bit of dissatisfaction with what you will know at the end of it, so that you will then go looking for more.
Maybe it's just Twitter's algorithm that only serves me the decent replies - but these at least have a point, antisemitism is running utterly rampant in academia these days. In no relation to Qatari funding, one might assume...
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