No, they haven't. There's a complete shift in US foreign policy and things are happening which are unprecedented. There's no continuation of anything of the past 50 years, Republican or Democrat.
Wrecking the economy and blaming the Democrats are exactly what the GOP has done the last 50 years. I'm not saying that their current foreign policy has precedence, but their plan to deal with whatever fallout is coming is going to be to blame the dems, because that's what they've always done.
Reagan destroyed the pre-existing political system, racked up the debt, and cut taxes on the rich, and Republicans have ran and won on that ever since.
What's unprecedented? And since when? USA has been invading places and pushing their empire for decades. Maybe you mean unprecedented in your (short?) lifetime?
What’s unprecedented in the context of the past 50 years is undermining NATO, getting cozy with the Russians at the expense of allies, making territorial advances at the expense of allies, politically and economically attacking EU, enacting protectionist economic policies and granting unlimited White House access to Qatar and Saudi Arabia.
I have the 40" (5K) and it's perfect. Replaced a 27-32-27 setup (the 27"s being portraits, the 32" landscape). For my coding and office work, absolutely no reason to go wider. Highly recommended.
Note the 40", and probably this one too. support MST which makes the display appear as two monitors to the OS and is great in terms of window management without going too fancy with custom software.
Likewise. I've had the 40" version for about a year. Higher DPI than the 52". It replaced 2 x 27" monitors and I'm glad I made the switch. I generally have 2 apps running side-by-side just like before, but with the ability to go full wide-screen for movies or gaming.
This monitor really does everything. It's crisp enough to read text on all day, unlike many gaming monitors. But the 120Hz is decent for gaming whereas most 5K+ monitors are only 60hz.
Interesting, I'm on 3x27" 2K monitor (same setup as you, portrait, landscape, portrait) and while it works very well for me, I'd like to replace it with just 1 screen (or 3x 4-5K monitors but that is less interesting to me). I already have custom window management software that I use so it wouldn't be hard to switch to sub-dividing 1 monitor to get a similar experience (I think).
Maybe I should look into the 40" 5K monitors, thanks!
Losing the bezel is great, and the Dell 4025qw that I have has also an IPS Black panel which is a vast improvement over what I had before - Dell U27-something (4K IPS), 3219Q (4K IPS). And it's 120hz. I really enjoy it.
It's because the storytelling needed for Wall Street. It's the only way to get sky high revenue multiples, selling a dream, because if you're a conglomerate all you can do is to sell the P&L - it's like selling an index.
If you have a business division that's does exceedingly well compared to the rest, you make more money by spinning it off.
I think Asian companies are much less dependent on public markets and have as strong private control (chaebols in South Korea for example - Samsung, LG, Hyundai etc).
If you look at US companies that are under "family control" you might see a similar sprawl, like Cargill, Koch, I'd even put Berkshire in this class even though it's not "family controlled" in the literal sense, it's still associated with two men and not a professional CEO.
Countries without a strong nuclear deterrence don't have a seat at the table in this new geopolitical era. Looking at you, Ukraine, Taiwan and (can't believe I'm saying this) Denmark.
France has a first-strike doctrine. It's unique in the world, and it scares the shit out of everybody. An EU arsenal would be a typical retaliatory-strike doctrine.
> How would nuclear deterrence work for small entities like Denmark or Taiwan against huge entities like US or China? it only works at similar sizes
It works as long as the harm that can be threatened is sufficient to outweigh any perceived gain of winning. Small states may not be able to sustain as large of an arsenal, but they also rarely offer as much value to a victor.
A nuclear deterrent is still a deterrent, no matter how small. No country (hopefully) wants to risk any kind of nuclear war. Ukraine would never have been invaded if it still had its nukes.
We cannot know. My best guess is that at some point in the future there will be a military conflict between two parties that have nukes. Pakistan vs India for instance. And although they have nukes they would fight conventionally unless one party is about to lose.
You’re right but Nvidia enjoys an important advantage Intel had always used to mask their sloppy design work: the supply chain. You simply can’t source HBMs at scale because Nvidia bought everything, TSMC N3 is likewise fully booked and between Apple and Nvidia their 18A is probably already far gone and if you want to connect your artisanal inference hardware together then congratulations, Nvidia is the leader here too and you WILL buy their switches.
As for the business side, I’ve yet to hear of a transformative business outcome due to LLMs (it will come, but not there yet). It’s only the guys selling the shovels that are making money.
This entire market runs on sovereign funds and cyclical investing. It’s crazy.
For instance, I believe Callcenters are in big trouble, and so are specialized contractors (like those prepping for an SOC submission etc).
It is, however, actually funny how bad e.g. the amazon chatbot (Rufus) is on amazon.com. When asked where a particular CC charge comes from, it does all sorts of SQL queries into my account, but it can't be bothered to give me the link to the actual charges (the page exists and solves the problem trivially).
So, maybe, the callcenter troubles will take some time to materialize.
You could look at agents as meta-compilers, the problem is that unlike real compilers they aren't verified in any way (neither formally or informally), in fact you never know which particular agent you're running against when you're asking for something; and unlike compilers, you don't just throw away everything and start afresh on each run. I don't think you could test a reasonably complex system to a degree where it really wouldn't matter what runs underneath, and as you're going to (probably) use other agents to write THOSE tests, what makes you certain they offer real coverage? It's turtles all the way down.
Completely agree and great points. The conclusion of "agents are writing the tests" etc is where I'm at as well. More over the code quality itself is also an agentic problem, as is compile time, reliability, portability... Turtles all the way down as you say.
All code interactions all happen through agents.
I suppose the question is if the agents only produce Swiss cheese solutions at scale and there's no way to fill in those gaps (at scale). Then yeah fully agentic coding is probably a pipe dream.
On the other hand if you can stand up a code generation machine where it's watts + Gpus + time => software products. Then well... It's only a matter of time until app stores entirely disappear or get really weird. It's hard to fathom the change that's coming to our profession in this world.
Israel has had nukes since the 1960’s, and has been wiping the floor with its adversaries since before even that. What changed now that would push Saudi Arabia and Turkey to get nukes? Nothing really. On the contrary: it is Turkey that’s projecting power in Syria, Libya and Somalia, and likewise Saudi Arabia projecting power in Yemen.
Israel’s war on Iran was an important piece in the way to the collapse of the regime. It exposed how incompetent the regime truly is in protecting Iran, and how the Iranian “ring of fire” project (masterminded by Qassem Suleimani) to encircle Israel with proxies, at a cost of tens of billions of dollars, was taken apart by Israel in the course of a year. All of this investment, in direct funding as well as sanctions over the past 40 years came to naught when Israel struck back. Mullahs were exposed as weak, irrelevant, only able to oppress their own.
Furthermore, Israel essentially decapitated the Iranian state apparatus in those 12 days. Everyone who mattered in the government and IRGC was killed. It just completely pulled the rug from under this regime.
I’m almost confident this is over. And with it there’s going to be a huge shift in Middle East politics. Likely more countries will align with Israel, but the removal of the primary Shia power might push the Sunnis to negatively fixate on Israel.
I agree that Israel has largely won the war to an extent that greatly reduced the fear the regime created in its own citizens which hastened this current protests
I am less convinced this is the end though, but maybe another step in a slow death of the regime. Regarding your last point, this is already happening, now that Iran is weak the KSA has less of an interest to ally with Israel and it shifts to allying its previous rivals of Qatar and Turkey along with Pakistan
Please don't post insinuations about astroturfing, shilling, brigading, foreign agents, and the like. It degrades discussion and is usually mistaken. If you're worried about abuse, email hn@ycombinator.com and we'll look at the data.
My concern is that inference hardware is becoming more and more specialized and datacenter-only. It won’t be possible any longer to just throw in a beefy GPU (in fact we’re already past that point).
Yep, good point. If they don't make the hardware available for personal use, then we wouldn't be able to buy it even it could be used in a personal system.
We need to put his music in the right historical context. In the time his early works were released he was truly different.
I don't like his music, but I appreciate it, artistically. I like his art, I guess.
I believe you, but is that not a strange position to take on music? Appreciating it artistically, but not liking listening to it?
Am I right in saying you like the _idea_ behind the music rather than the music itself? That's almost as strange to me as people who do not listen to music at all - it's fine, of course! They are your ears, and you can do what you like with them :)
No it's not strange. As someone who enjoys playing music I have heard a lot of music that doesn't suite my particular tastes, but appreciated the artistic talent of the people creating it because I truly believe they are talented. If you dig below the surface level you can find plenty to appreciate about how something is created, even if the product isn't for you.
You can find something to like about a lot of things. I also enjoy watching videos about wristwatch repairs and seeing the construction of them. However, I do not want one and would never wear one.
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