The Middle East conflicts have all been follies because there is no real victory condition without completely seizing territory and claiming as your own. Not saying this would be a good or moral position, but half measures only, at best, kick the can down the road or, at worst, exacerbate the situation.
I was right for all but one. High frequencies give it away. I can tell the difference, but it was certainly close enough that I am not sure I care anymore.
When I was on antidepressants I noticed people were much more likely to approach me and start up a conversation. I think so might have been more at ease a confident an also more likely to smile and make eye contact with strangers myself. So I think self confidence and general openness play a big part too.
In my experience, people who are compulsive liars or those who are willing to make large or repeated deceptions for personal gain never change. It is as natural to them as breathing. Some of them I am quite convinced believe their lies, but the net result is the same.
I don't know Trevor Milton. I have never met him. Maybe he isn't a compulsive liar but just got in over his head and was trying to make it work. But I know I would never invest in something he is doing.
Isn't this also in line with recent proclamations by at least two venture capitalists that they do not reflect / introspect / dwell on consequences in any way?
No because you don't understand what Andreessen means by reflection / introspection.
He obviously thinks you should learn from your mistakes and that you must be an avid and quick learner.
But learning skills is not what introspection / dwelling is.
It's spending times on thoughts like "what should I be doing with my life". "I can't believe how much of a victim of the system I am".
And he specifically contrasted it against doing stuff.
Writing code >>> walks in the woods.
Obviously reflection is necessary to recognize mistakes of the past. What Andreessen was talking about that you should spent majority of your time acting not reflecting. Not that you should spent 0 time reflecting.
Did we not understand when he said introspection was something made up in the past few hundred years? I was aghast when he said it right in front of my copy of Meditations given how much these guys also obsess over the Roman Empire
There are those who would argue doing anything is better than doing nothing while you try to figure out what to do. I'm in a position where I know what my passions are and am sufficiently constrained by resources that I can't afford major mistakes; but if I were sufficiently wealthy and indifferent, throwing darts at a board with a couple of ideas on it and just doing whatever has a certain romance to it.
Don't do nothing while figuring out what to do. But you should still spend time thinking about what to do.
If you're wealthy time and personal energy are the most valuable, irreplaceable resources you now possess. Why squander them on fruitless, random pursuits if you could think strategically and do something that really matters?
I have followed Trevor for many years. And I think anybody who has done the same will tell you, lying is very very central to his inner core. He lies even when he has zero need to. He just cannot help himself. It satisfies some inner need.
I grew up with someone like this. And otherwise he was a nice likable person. And his lies were benign, but he lied almost any time you talked to him. Most people didn’t even notice, but once you did you couldn’t unsee it. A couple of times we both witnessed the same event and he would have a completely different recollection of events that favored him and I think he believed those lies himself. I think for some people it is some kind of defense mechanism.
The greatest failing of modernity is its refusal to accept an uncomfortable reality uncovered by biology and psychology: That certain strongly negative personality traits are built-in pathologies which nature tries out to explore what is possible. The neural pattern that is "Trevor Milton" is not him without those intensely compulsive lying behaviors.
The social taboos of cultures around the world are fighting a ceaseless battle to reign in these endemic outliers.
I think what people want out of an EV is the Honda Civic and CRV. Nice practical, reliable low cost EVs that don’t feel cheap or weird. The Tesla model 3 and Y are so close. But there is weirdness to it that a lot of consumers aren’t really interested in an that is before you factor in the polarizing nature of Elon himself.
Maybe we aren’t there yet. The Model 3 and Y are probably still too expensive without incentives.
I think it shifts the skillset of executives a little bit. At publicly traded companies the quarterly shareholder meetings and the preparation that goes into it becomes such an outsized portion of the job that being good at that one thing is highly valued. I don’t think moving quarterly to bi-annually changes that much besides making the CEO and CFOs and some other folks jobs a bit easier.
This hits the nail on the head. The MacBook Neo is compelling because it is a computer. A real computer with a full ecosystem behind it. Not some bastardized chrome book or tinker box Raspberry Pi, but a full on computer at a price where the competitors are 4 year olds used MacBooks or PCs or absolute ewaste garbage that barely functions and will assuredly break within two years.
I think what surprises everyone is that Apple beat all of the low cost PC manufacturers at their own game. And they did it through scale, superior software memory management, and world class chip design.
I don’t know if the Neo will be a success, but it is a great product at a great price.
This hits the nail on the head. The MacBook Neo is compelling because it is a computer. A real computer with a full ecosystem behind it. Not some bastardized chrome book or tinker box Raspberry Pi, but a full on computer at a price where the competitors are 4 year olds used MacBooks or PCs or absolute ewaste garbage that barely functions and will assuredly break within two years.
I think what surprises everyone is that Apple beat all of the low cost PC manufacturers at their own game. And they did it through scale, superior software memory management, and world class chip design.
I don’t know if the Neo will be a success. Chromebooks have entrenched themselves in Education. But for end users this is a no brainer in this price range. If you are looking for a computer in the ~$500 range you would be almost foolish to buy anything else unless your specific needs demanded it.
Same basic issue, but not exactly the same thing in terms of sector or potential impact. The sub prime mortgage delinquency rate remains low as home loans became much more strict after 2008. So that portion of the economy is relatively safe right now. PE is a much smaller market and so the fallout from a private equity collapse, while significant, would theoretically be less likely to negatively disrupt the total market to the same extent as the 2008 housing crisis.
When I was in high school I was a better writer when I had time (versus in class) and generally a better writer than I was a student. The net result was fairly often being accused of plagiarism. Not because the teacher had proof(I never plagiarized), but because the teacher couldn’t believe I could write to the level I sometimes wrote at on take home assignments. Admittedly, I was a wildly inconsistent student.
This reminds me a bit of that. AI writing is—in many ways—objectively very good, but that doesn’t matter if no one thinks you wrote it. AI writing is boring exactly because it is consistent and like any art form people want to see something original.
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