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What does temporal consistency mean? Which model do you think is the best right now?

Try to make a human do a flip of any kind. Limbs will magically go through torsos, limbs will swap with each other, and extra limbs will appear and disappear when others are occluded.

"[Yann LeCun] believes [current] LLMs will be largely obsolete within five years."


Obsolete by?

This seems like a broken clock having a good chance of being right.

There's so much progress, it wouldn't be that surprising if something quite different completely overtakes the current trend within 5 years.


> Obsolete by

By NN models overcoming the pivot over representing language - according to LeCun in the article. It could be the Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture - we will see.

> There's so much progress, it wouldn't be that surprising

LeCun's point looks like a denunciation over an excessive focus over the LLM idea ("it works, so let's expand that" vs "it probably will not achieve the level of a satisfactory general model, so let us directly try to go beyond it").


Obsolete by price. This technology only scales linearly. All the investment in it had a different growth expectation. I suspect this level of investment will eventually collapse.


> believes [current] LLMs will be largely obsolete within five years

Well yes in that ChatGPT 4 (current) will be replaced by ChatGPT 5 (future) etc...


Could you say more about this? This link isn't that helpful since the main content was removed.




Can anyone confirm if this is available in Canada and other countries? This site says "We are still working on bringing access to users in the United Kingdom, Switzerland, and the European Economic Area." But I'm not sure about other countries. I don't have Pro currently, only Plus.


https://help.openai.com/en/articles/10500283-deep-research-f... "Pro users (located outside the UK, Switzerland, and the European Economic Area) have access to 100 deep research tasks per month." So to me that must include Canada, right? I signed up for Pro. There it is. (For future reference, for someone else.)


I don't even see it in the US right now.


(Update: it’s visible for me now.)


Just use a VPN to pretend you're in the US and it works.


This is better than my suggestions. It doesn't include the debate aspect though (...?)


'British Wikipedian, Stuart Marshall, made the final ruling in September, decisively supporting the [Gaza genocide] article’s inclusion. “Based on the strength of the arguments … and it’s not close … I discarded the argument that scholars haven’t reached a conclusion on whether the Gaza genocide is really taking place”, Marshall wrote in his decision. “The matter remains contested, but there’s a metric truckload of scholarly sources linked in this discussion that show a clear predominance of academics who say that it is.”'

From this, maybe it is clearer (but not shorter) to say: ‘It’s not close’ - The inclusion of "Gaza genocide" to Wikipedia's "List of genocides" ends editorial debate

Alt phrasing: Wikipedia's editorial debate ends with the inclusion of "Gaza genocide" to "List of genocides" page

(I'm trying to not repeat "Wikipedia" several times.)

Somewhat related Wikipedia article regarding parsing sentences: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garden-path_sentence


"He’s 70, and sits in the swivel driving-seat of the van, one leg bent underneath him in the only position that eases his continuous back pain. His wife, Els, is 71 and has dementia. Now, she struggles to formulate her sentences."


"Apparently during the conference call, when [the Sarepta CEO] was asked about why he was so confident [about the Duchenne muscular dystrophy medication's approval], he said that the FDA's CBER head Peter Marks was "very supportive". [...]

Boy, was that the truth. The agency has just granted that use expansion, and it turns out that it was all due to Peter Marks, who completely overruled three review teams and two of his highest-level staffers (all of whom said that Sarepta had not proven its case)."

[The article then talks about how this may be "A positive vote, which marks an undeserved and potentially hazardous victory of emotional rhetoric and relentless patient advocacy over the scientific and medical evidence."]

This is interesting. I didn't know about the influence of the CEO and this narrative around this medications approval/label expansion.

I'm not sure why I'm mentioning this (Devil's advocacy?), some users on HN have also commented that maybe it is good that the FDA approves medications more liberally to give clinicians and patients a chance to experiment with them (if their situations are dire).

Anyways, in this case, it is interesting to think about how much influence one person can have in the FDA.

Sort of related, does anyone remember the approval of aducanumab for Alzheimer's disease? https://www.npr.org/2021/06/11/1005567149/3-experts-have-res...

And now it is discontinued: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK573062/ This isn't really a good source for the full story, sorry.

All this FDA approval business is much less cut and dry than I would have thought 10 years ago.


I enjoyed this a lot. Thank you.

Feedback: Desktop with trackpad, I swiped and my pointed ended out of the grid and it doesn't let this swipe occur.

Echoing others: - "the numbers of taps and swipes were too small for me to notice, I’ve discovered them quite late" - "The scroll down section felt odd." - on desktop I couldn't figure out what "swipe" meant for a bit (just click-and-drag)

Thank you again for this gift.


Glad you're enjoying it, thanks for playing.

Great comments and some new bugs on my list.

The "scroll down" is definitely odd, I haven't quite decided how to handle that.

The reason for it is the floating address bar on mobile browsers- the only way I can find to minimize them is an authentic scroll of the page body. window.scroll() methods or anything I try to do that doesn't literally display an overflowing body requiring a scroll, and it won't retract.

To have the address bar full height while I'm trying to play just kills it for me. I've got some great animations from the original version I haven't brought in yet; the scroll down might "reveal" the puzzle with an animation that feels more natural.


The fullscreen API might help you rid the address bar. Or as another comment said, implementing as a PWA.


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