The Cyc project basically achieved what you're talking about, even without approaching AGI. They manually programmed concepts and relationships between things into a huge knowledge graph. Then they had heuristics for choosing the appropriate version of facts for a given context (e.g. level of rigor). It was arguably able to use a library of abstractions similarly to what Chollet is talking about, but couldn't learn new ones automatically through exploration or play.
It’s more horrible now. Syncing now opens a Finder window with an inconsistent look and feel, and sometimes fails to copy new songs in a synced playlist. The playlist view has the album art taking up half the screen, but there’s no way to shrink that section. And there’s no visual indication for whether shuffle is on - it has no grey box around it when enabled.
I kind of think they made it shitty on purpose to push everyone towards a subscription. Many of these issues apply to locally stored songs and playlists, which is how I use it.
Look at gravel or mountain biking! If you live near some farmland, ranches or a national forest, there are likely miles of public dirt roads that hardly get any car traffic. trailforks.com is a good place to start to see what's near you.
IMO this is the thing we should be scared of, rather than the paperclip-maximizer scenarios. If the human brain is a finitely complicated system, and we keep improving our approximation of it as a computer program, then at some point the programs must become capable of subjectively real suffering. Like the hosts from Westworld or the mecha from A.I. (the 2001 movie). And maybe (depending on philosophy, I guess) human suffering is _only_ real subjectively.
Imagine if avatar Gavin Belson had done the "metaverse legs" product reveal, with the animation running at 10 frames/second and a few legless avatars in the audience throwing up confetti. It would be almost too ridiculous to put in the show because the show itself would look like it was being cheap with the effects. But Meta had spent $36 billion on the metaverse at this point.
I don't think the self indulgence is unbearable until The Trial and "you stand accused of showing feelings of an almost human nature". The Trial is comedy/satire but since the rest of the album is serious and autobiographical, I roll my eyes at what a diva he sounds like there.
That's because Larrabee wasn't totally canceled, it was just pivoted from a gaming GPU to an HPC accelerator in the form of Knights Corner/Landing. The idea of having lots of x86 cores with wide SIMD units didn't change, but it was a lot more successful in the HPC world because anybody could compile an old MPI or OpenMP application with AVX512 and it just worked.
Larrabee itself was a complete disaster. Xeon Phi resurrected the Larrabee trash heap into something sellable. Sadly, it was never really that easy to program a Xeon Phi.
When do you expect the death deficit to show up in mortality data? So far it looks like most (but not all) countries had an increase and then returned to the previous trendline: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/number-of-deaths-per-year. For the world's total deaths per year, it definitely looks like the area under the curve increased due to covid.
>When do you expect the death deficit to show up in mortality data?
right away. I'm not an epidemiologist, but it's simple logic. A certain number of people of every age die every year. infants, toddlers, tweens, adolescents, middle aged people, old people, in each group a certain %age of people die every year of "all cause mortality". More old people die than young people (we're talking about rates here, % chance of dying)
so, if there is a period where a whole bunch extra old people who die one year, that whole bunch extra old people are not around the very next year to die, because they're already dead.
If the numbers don't add up, somebody is hiding data. the numbers absolutely should make sense.
so, one explanation for what you are saying is that extra old people didn't die, it was the same number of old people; who died must have been young people, because those "missing deaths" will not show up in the "normal" death statistics for a long time. But that's not what we were told happened, so again, something is not right with the data.
I do want to believe what you're saying because it means fewer life-years lost but... the other explanation is that covid plus the countermeasures to it really did impact people's health (not just the fatalities) and increased net mortality. We can check back in a few years but so far this explanation seems likelier to me.
yeah, but that's not a significant point. covid "not having been the flu" is a different statement than covid is just the flu now. the Spanish flu (1919 or whenever that was) was not "just the flu" either, but it burned bright and then died out in a very short time.
the question is not whether covid-19 happened, it did. the question is whether our various responses did anything or much at all to help, and whether it was productive to turn it into an us/them political issue and suppress speech and criticism to maintain the facade of being right. qui bono?
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