The city itself actually estimates a total of 15,411 deaths so far the the figure is already closer to 0.9%, and there are still people dying in the city every day so will likely end up a bit higher (of course, all of this assuming the study actually represents reality).
You also have to adjust for the people who are already sick but haven't died yet. That would likely get you somewhere between 1 and 1.5%. So for herd immunity in the US at 200,000,000 recovered, that would be 2 to 3 million. That's consistent with earlier projections.
On the other part, those who are more vulnerable are more aware, and are implementing more measures in their daily living, hence they are not getting infected as much, currently.
Without better testing, you have no way of knowing whether older people have higher infection rates. Infection rates depend on far more variables than age. Witness what's happening on the Teddy Roosevelt.
So .. drawing a line between two points, if NY had 20% immunity for 15k dead, that implies there will be 60k dead by the end of the process. Roughly one 9/11 every week or so?
T-REX Group | Full-Stack dev, QA, Product Owner | Tel Aviv, Israel | Onsite http://www.trexgroup.com/
We are a Fintech startup focused on the renewable energy finance market, with some of the largest financial institutions in the U.S. using our risk analytics platform.
We are expanding our development team in Tel-Aviv as our platform is getting traction and post our recent Series B funding.
Our stack is Python / Django / BackboneJS / SaaS / PostgreSql / AWS and we have some great challenges ahead of us as we begin integrating large datasets from our customers.
Perhaps considering the total military expenditure will provide a better perspective - $80B for Saudi Arabia in 2014; 3rd highest in the world in $ terms, and highest in the world in terms of percent of GDP (10.7%).
Unlike gold, the treasure Saudi Arabia is sitting on top of is: in higher demand, more easily convertible into wealth and prosperity, and among it's resource class, the most easily accessible in the world. That, combined with the fact they live in a dangerous part of the world, leads me to believe it's a rational decision to try to protect their treasure.
Whether their armed forced are capable is, sadly, depending on your POV, another story. Like in most autocratic societies, a strong military is seen as a threat to the leadership.
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We’re working with Python / Django / BackboneJS / Nginx / PostgreSql / NumPy / Pandas / Bootstrap / Git / AWS. Experience in any of these is great, but mostly we're looking for people who are quick learners, motivated and ‘get things done’. If you are one of those, the rest is really just a plus
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We are a funded (Series A) start-up bringing together the worlds of finance and renewable energy, helping to drive up the adoption of renewable energy assets as a mainstream, investable asset class.
We are now establishing T-REX’s SAAS development team in Tel-Aviv and are looking for full-stack developers and front-end developers, who are looking to work in a small, fast-paced start-up oriented team.
Funded by two of the most successful clean-tech venture capital firms in California, T-REX’s mission is to unlock mass market investment into renewable energy assets by bringing together the largest investors in the world with the developers of renewable energy projects. We are building a comprehensive software solution which provides robust and transparent risk analysis to institutional investors, providing them with the transparency and knowledge needed to invest in renewable energy assets.
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email me directly at arad.shaiber [at] therenex.com
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page