The best measure I can think of is per capita prison population. It's not great because it doesn't directly address fairness but it's likely related.
Two countries, with roughly the same "fairness" of courts, should, ceteris paribus, have roughly the same per-capita prison population. By that measure, China would be slightly on the fairer end 92nd lowest out of 224.
I don't remember if HK does the same thing but China divides their police into two groups. The more common type are basically public safety officers. They are unarmed but I saw a few places where the had plastic riot shields and catch poles https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man_catcher#/media/File:Mancat... The armed police are only called out as needed.
The airport had a two of military guys standing at attention with rifles. They looked like a couple of wax figures until I saw them do a formal changing of the guard.
I don't know if anyone has assembled data on actual court records. How often are police charges prosecuted? How often do they go to trial? What percentage end up getting convictions? What are the average sentences?
It would also be good to decide what we're comparing it to. A rich white person in the US can expect a very different level of fairness than a poor black person. Is a random Chinese person's experience more like the rich white persons' or the poor black person's?
> there is zero path to the goals Hong Kong residents espouse and are used to
From talking to friends and relatives from HK I've seen huge diversity in how people think about HK, China, their relationship with each other, Mandarin, Cantonese, food, and "the West".
There are certainly large groups of HKers who would prefer for HK to seced from China. There are also many HKers who love the UK and mourn the loss of HK to China.
There are also huge swathes of the population that chaffed at being colonized. Long time residents can show you the old police barracks where British troops would beat the locals in black bag operations. They'll tell you about how the feng shui of the Bank of China Tower lead to the collapse of the British empire. They'll tell you that they spent their lives paying taxes into a "democracy" they never got to vote in.
The opinions within HK are far more diverse than we make them out to be.
Exactly, which goes to my point about the absurdity of the legislative body, even if 100% of residents voted for the same thing it would only be 50% of the vote, and 100% of residents won't vote for the same thing.
I'm pretty sure China considers that as "signing under duress" and therefor invalid.
The relevant points on the timeline, from China's perspective, are:
China: Stop selling opium in our country.
UK: How about no?
China: We're kicking out your drug dealers.
UK: How about an Opium War?
China: Oh crap, you have way more guns. We surrender.
UK: OK We're taking HK for 100 years.
China: I guess we don't have any say in the matter....
A few years later...
China: We get HK back now, right?
UK: Yeah but we've altered the terms. Take it or leave it.
China: OK. I guess.
A few years later...
China: Now we have more guns so here are the new terms. Take it or leave.
UK: But our deal!!
I was watching KBOS https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/KBOS on Thursday morning and saw a couple of Cape Air flights that looked like they were within 500 feet of each other. I suspect we'll be hearing more of these stories soon.
I'm listening to ATC for education. I'm not confident in my ability to understand it correctly. That's why I qualified my level of certainty.
FWIW, the KBOS incident I saw didn't seem to be ATC either, if it was actually what I thought it was. It does seem like either of them may have been caught earlier if there had been more ATCs on staff or if they weren't as stressed or sleep deprived.
Presumably both of these AIs have additional information beyond what was in their initial training.
The hotel agent probably has a RAG that points at their various customer and inventory databases. The user agent has individualized information about the customer. Both of them have also likely had SFT steps that further differentiate them.
The interesting question is if Gibber-Link lets the AIs do something they couldn't otherwise do with natural languages. Does it lower some error rate? Does it reduce the time it takes to send messages? Does it effectively give the AIs additional vocabulary?
If I had to guess at the internals, they probably took the token encodings and mapped them on to tones. Then it just throws text or audio through the decoding filter and passes it back.
If that's the case, the benefits are probably limited to slightly faster communications (It's essentially a simple, lossless compression) and a slightly lower error rate (beeps are easier to correct in noisy environments).
They're extremely careful not to state that as their plan.
In general, they make a huge effort not to talk about their plans vis-a-vis Taiwan at all. They just keep repeating that Taiwan is part of China.
The closest they come to stating that they plan to use force is that they'll sometimes say that they won't reject the use of force.
Given that nobody has proposed a scenario where China actually could do something like "take the IP by force" (since the IP would be gone if they ever tried to invade) and we can generally see that the Chinese leaders aren't complete idiots, it seems highly unlikely that they're planning an invasion any time soon.
If all it costs them were never having access to those chips again the chinese would've taken Taiwan already.
The chinese want to invade Taiwan because they think it's a rebel province, their only consideration is whether the US will oppose them militarily if they do.
It's clearly not just about the chips.
China didn't attack Taiwan before 1987, when TSMC was founded.
There are many disincentives. The biggest one is that China is confident that they'll get full control of Taiwan without violence.
They believe that the US is in a state of terminal decline and Europe will never overcome centuries of infighting. A significant portion of the population of Taiwan wants to reunify. They fully expect that they can just continue to nurture supporters within Taiwan and wait out the West and Taiwan will just fall into their lap.
Why would they go to war when they think they can get everything they want without war?
> The chinese want to invade Taiwan because they think it's a rebel province, their only consideration is whether the US will oppose them militarily if they do.
IIRC, the US's wargaming shows that if it tries to intervene, it will lose. Taiwan is too far from the US and too close to China.
The US has unrivaled force projection capabilities; half the worlds carrier fleets, the largest navy by tonnage, and the technology to execute unprecedented combined arms maneuvers.
China has insane defense-in-depth; more missiles than you can shake a stick at, the largest navy by number of ships, a vast arsenal of countermeasures, and a 4:1 population advantage.
China can't stand toe-to-toe with the US anywhere except the immediate vicinity of China. In that vicinity, nobody can get close if China doesn't want them to.
> China can't stand toe-to-toe with the US anywhere except the immediate vicinity of China. In that vicinity, nobody can get close if China doesn't want them to.
I think you have a typo there.
Personally, I think if the US wants to defend Taiwan from invasion, it needs to stock them up with a massive amounts of missile/artillery/whatever systems and ammunition, and that needs to be distributed all over the island so there's no concentrated stockpile to attack.
But the US cupboard is bare, and Ukraine made it barer. IIRC, in an all-out war the US itself will run out of missiles in a few days or weeks, and lacks the capacity to replenish them at a reasonable rate.
If you own a newspaper and use that platform to make such a request, you're likely to attract a law enforcement response wherever you are.
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