Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | Cortexia's commentslogin

Very cool. Thanks for posting this.


They predicted the Kentucky Derby (Superfecta) using this same A.I., based on a challenge from another reporter:

http://www.newsweek.com/artificial-intelligence-turns-20-110...


It probably would be more useful if you disclose your connection to the company, and then gave us some technical arguments.

At the moment your comment history doesn't make a great argument, eg: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11663155


Actually, that's how a Swarm Intelligence works - it's a real-time system that connects LIVE PEOPLE using swarming algorithms.

So, the Boston Globe provided the people and provided the questions... they formed a Swarm Intelligence, and made the predictions.

The Boston Globe did this to see if the swarm intelligence could make strong picks. It did.


I get it, but there is a little bit of dishonesty in saying it was the system that did the work. It was the system that automated discovery of a solution, but it was the people that did the work.

As I pointed out in a different post, this is an update of the established technique of delta polling. Delta polling is useful, and an automated way of doing it can help if find even more uses for a lower cost. I see the value here. But, it isn't AI, and the system isn't doing the assessment. It is not intelligence.


In response to such skepticism, reporters come up with their own questions and ask UNU to make predictions. And the reporters monitor the process. That's what this set of picks is - it was done for the BOSTON GLOBE, at their request, with their own participants:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2016/10/04/group-g...


That doesn't actually answer the question.


Except this was a prediction that was done formally for the Boston Globe, at their request. You can see their article about it here:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2016/10/04/group-g...


Still, this is not "AI" in the traditional sense of the phrase. Asking a bunch of humans and then deciding an outcome is not AI.


Well, I think it's pretty clearly an "emergent intelligence" that is distinct from any of the individuals' unique intelligence.

In other words, whose intelligence is being represented by the swarm?


Corporations have been collectively intelligent for centuries, but we don't call that AI.


"Wisdom of crowds" might be the correct term.


Except this was a prediction that was done formally for the Boston Globe, at their request. You can see their article about it here:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2016/10/04/group-g...

That's pretty different than sending out thousands of random predictions. This was ONE prediction about MLB.


But we don't know how many other predictions were also formally done, by other entities. We're only hearing about this one because it was right.


They also predicted which managers would win the MVP awards, and which players would win the CY YOUNG awards but those don't get announced for 2 weeks.


Managers don't win MVP awards.


They tend to publish academic papers about the predictions. This one is obviously too recent to review, but here is an academic paper (IEEE) about their SUPERBOWL PREDICTIONS, complete with formal statistics:

http://unu.ai/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Crowds-Vs-Swarms-SH...


By "They tend to publish academic papers" you mean you used an "academic paper" template and uploaded it to your website.


Here is the latest UNU election pick: http://unu.ai/election-fatigue/


Personally, I'd feel unsafe. (I'm just trying to imagine getting in the back seat of a car, moving at high speed, with nobody in the front). That's hard to get past.


Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: