It also includes the US seeing the same negative learning by doing.
We have research on when we have achieved learning effects.
> If you look at the data specifically you're going to find learning but for that there's a several requirements:
> - It has to be the same site
> - It has to be the same constructor
> - It has to be at least two years of of gap between one construction to the next
> - It has to be constant labor laws
> - It has to be a constant regulatory regime
> When you add these five you only get like four or five examples in the world.
From a nuclear energy professor at MIT in a nuclear power industry podcast, giving an overly positive but still sober image regarding the nuclear industry as it exists today.
In the meantime renewables and storage have gone from nascent industries to today be the vast majority of all new energy production in TWh and while costing a fraction of new built nuclear power.
Again, I'd say based on the conditions for the theory to hold, the US couldn't prove or disprove the theory either way. I guess to summarize my stance: we don't know what the learning curve for nuclear is because data that is too messy. That being the case, my prior would weight the theory holding, maybe weakly, given the evidence for it elsewhere. Maybe in a few years we can infer some honest data from China.
We have research on when we have achieved learning effects.
> If you look at the data specifically you're going to find learning but for that there's a several requirements:
> - It has to be the same site
> - It has to be the same constructor
> - It has to be at least two years of of gap between one construction to the next
> - It has to be constant labor laws
> - It has to be a constant regulatory regime
> When you add these five you only get like four or five examples in the world.
From a nuclear energy professor at MIT in a nuclear power industry podcast, giving an overly positive but still sober image regarding the nuclear industry as it exists today.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDzaSucDg7k
In the meantime renewables and storage have gone from nascent industries to today be the vast majority of all new energy production in TWh and while costing a fraction of new built nuclear power.